Rigged or Reality Check? Uncovering the Truth Behind Democrat Voter Decline

Rigged or Reality Check? Uncovering the Truth Behind Democrat Voter Decline

The 2024 U.S. presidential election has left many pondering a crucial question: what happened to the 13 million Democrat voters who backed Joe Biden in 2020 but didn't support Kamala Harris four years later? Biden secured a record-breaking 81 million votes in 2020, while Harris garnered just under 68 million votes in 2024. Meanwhile, Donald Trump's vote count remained relatively consistent, with 74 million votes in 2020 and 72 million in 2024.

Several theories attempt to explain this significant discrepancy. Candidate Appeal: suggests that Biden was a more compelling candidate, and his 2020 campaign more effectively mobilized voters ¹. This theory is supported by analysts like William A. Galston, who notes that Trump made strides among Latinos and African Americans, especially men, in the 2024 election .

Another possibility is: Voter Disillusionment, proposing that over 13 million Biden voters became disenchanted with the Democratic party due to issues like the weak economy, immigration crisis, and Israel's war in Gaza . This theory is plausible, considering the public's harshly negative judgment of Biden's performance on core issues like inflation and immigration .

A third, more contentious explanation points to *Electoral Fraud*, implying that Democrats won in 2020 with the help of electoral irregularities . However, this claim lacks concrete evidence and is often linked to conspiracy theories.

Interestingly, some Harris supporters have floated turnout-related conspiracies, claiming "20 million votes missing" and questioning the veracity of the election results ². Nevertheless, voter turnout varies by cycle and state, and record turnout was reported in some areas, such as Arizona's Maricopa County .

Ultimately, understanding the decline of Democrat voters requires a nuanced analysis of multiple factors. As the dust settles on the 2024 election, one thing is clear: the Democratic party must confront and address the underlying reasons for this significant voter drop-off to regain momentum in future elections.